Structural change commanded by trade opening. The case of Mexican economy

Authors

  • María Elena Cardero Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
  • Fidel Aroche Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24201/ee.v23i2.134

Keywords:

trade liberalization, import-expor model, Input Output Matrix, employment, NAFTA

Abstract

Using Input Output analysis and a special methodology to measure import and export composition the authors make an analysis of the impact of trade liberalization in Mexico. Results seem far away from what was forecasted at the beginning of the 90’s. Exports surge were accompanied by similar imports rates of growth and the import substitution model moved to an import export model. Input Output analysis showed a structural disintegration of the former productive sector. Employment performance was very poor and most of the new jobs created by the export productive sector were built outside the national boundaries.

 

Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

References

Aroche, Fidel (2006). Regímenes de crecimiento, cambio estructural y coeficientes de insumo, El Trimestre Económico, vol. LXXIII (4), 881-992.

Aroche, Fidel (1996). Important Coefficients and Structural Change: A Multi-layer Approach, Economic Systems Research, vol. 8, núm. 3, 235-246.

Aroche, Fidel (1993). Economic Structures in Brazil, Mexico and South Korea: An Input-Output Application, tesis de doctorado, Queen Mary and Westfield College, Universidad de Londres.

Balassa, Bela (1979). Accounting for Economic Growth: The Case of Norway, Oxford Economic Papers, New Series, vol. 31, núm. 3, 415-436.

Brown Grossman, Flor y L. Domínguez (2004). Evolución de la productividad en la industria mexicana: una aplicación con el método de Malmquist, Investigación Económica, vol. LXIII, núm. 249, 75-100.

Carter, Anna (1970). Structural Change in the American Economy, Harvard University Press.

Cardero, María Elena y L. M. Galindo (2005). From the Import Substitution Model to the Import-Export Model: Reassessing Mexico’s Trade Liberalization Process During the Last Two Decades, Journal of Economic Asymmetries, vol.2, núm. 2.

Casares, Enrique y H. Sobarzo (2004). Diez años del TLCAN en México. Una perspectiva analítica, FCE, México.

Clavijo, Fernando y S. Valdivieso (1983). La creación del empleo mediante el comercio exterior, el caso de México, El Trimestre Económico, vol. I, núm. 2, 873-916.

Forsell, Ösmo (1983). Experiences of Studying Changes in Input-Output Coefficients in Finland, en A. Smyshilav (comp.), Proceedings of the Fourth IIASA Task Force Meeting on I-O model, Viena.

Goodwin, Richard M. (1949). The Multiplier as a Matrix, Economic Journal, vol. 59, núm. 236, 537-555.

Holub, Hans-Werner y H. Schnabl (1994). Input-Output-Rechnung:Input-Output-Analyse, Munich.

Holub, Hans-Werner, H. Schnabl y G. Tappeiner (1985). Qualitative Input-output Analysis with Variable Filter, Zeitschrift fur die gesamte Staatswis-senschaft, vol. 141, núm. 2, 282-300.

Leontief, W. (1963). The Structure of Development, Scientific American, vol. 209, 148-166.

Levy, Santiago (1981). Foreign Trade and its Impact on Employment. The Mexican Case, Journal of Development Economics, vol. 10, núm. 1, 47-65.

Lustig, Nora (1992). Tipo de cambio, protección efectiva y exportaciones manufactureras. México 1983-1987, Investigación Económica, vol. LI, núm. 200, 75-109.

Lustig, Nora, B. Bosworth y R. Lawrence (1993). El impacto del libre comercio en América del Norte, Economía Mexicana, vol. II, junio, número especial.

Miyazawa, K. (1971). An Analysis of the Interdependence between Service and Goods-producing sectors, Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 12, 10-21.

Puyana, Alicia y J. Romero (2005). Diez años con el TLCAN. Las experiencias del sector agropecuario mexicano, FLACSO/El Colegio de México, México.

Ramírez de la O, Rogelio. (1991). A Mexican Vision of North American Economic Integration, en S. Globerman (comp.), Continental Accord: North American Economic Integration, The Fraser Institute, Canada.

Ruiz Nápoles, Pablo (2007). Protectionism, Free Trade and Preferential Trade: The Mexican Case 1970-2005, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, vol. LX, núm. 240.

Ruiz Nápoles, Pablo (2004). Exports, Growth and Employment in Mexico, 1978-2000, Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, vol 27, núm. 1.

Schintke, Joachim y R. Stäglin (1988). Important Input Coefficients in Market Transaction Tables and Production Flow Tables, en M. Ciaschini (comp.) Input-Output Analysis, Current Development, Chapman and Hall, 43-60.

Weintraub, Sidney (1993). La modelación de los efectos industriales del TLC, Economía Mexicana, vol. II, junio, número especial, 155-190.

Published

2008-07-01

How to Cite

Cardero, M. E., & Aroche, F. (2008). Structural change commanded by trade opening. The case of Mexican economy. Estudios Económicos De El Colegio De México, 23(2), 203–252. https://doi.org/10.24201/ee.v23i2.134