Coordination between environment, poverty, and SDGs through a carbon tax

Authors

  • Araceli Ortega Díaz Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León
  • Zeus Guevara Tecnológico de Monterrey
  • Joana Chapa Cantú Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24201/ee.v37i2.433

Keywords:

CGEM, SDG, greenhouse gas emissions, carbon tax, poverty

Abstract

Since 2014, Mexico has implemented a carbon tax policy, which has not reached the expected revenue, failed at decreasing emissions, and had a regressive effect. Moreover, there has not been coordination between climate and other Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). To explore this, we perform a Computable General Equilibrium analysis to simulate a coordinated carbon tax policy aimed at reaching the SDGs goals related to poverty, mortality, and education. The results suggest that the required carbon tax rate for approaching SDGs targets by 2030 should be around 15%, which is higher than the actual rate and may cause other distortionary effects.

Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

References

Alarco Tosoni, G. 2009. Impactos macroeconómicos de los precios de los energéticos en México con un modelo de equilibrio general poskeynesiano, Análisis Económico, 24(56): 7-35.

Allen, C., G. Metternicht, and T. Wiedmann. 2016. National pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): A comparative review of scenario modelling tools, Environmental Science and Policy, 66: 199-207.

Allen, C., G. Metternicht, and T. Wiedmann. 2017. An iterative framework for national scenario modelling for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), Sustainable Development, 25(5): 372-385.

Antón, A., R. Boyd, A. Elizondo, and M.E. Ibarrarán. 2016. Universal social insurance for Mexico: Modeling of a financing scheme, Economic Modelling, 52(B): 838-850.

Arreola-Ornelas, H., F.M. Knaul, G. Nigenda, C. Borja, J. Dorantes, O. Méndez, and J. Frenk. 2002. Inversiones en salud: determinación de la tasa de retorno a la salud (preliminary version), México, Centro de Análisis Social y Económico - Fundación Mexicana para la Salud.

Beltrán, L. 2015. Análisis del combate a la pobreza en México a través de modelos lineales de equilibrio general. Año base 2008, Master's Thesis, Instituto Politécnico Nacional.

Beltrán, L., M. Delgado, and H. Ríos. 2017. Análisis multisectorial y de cambio estructural de la economía mexicana para el periodo 2003-2012, Revista de Estudios Regionales, 110: 69-97.

Bergman, L. 2005. CGE modeling of environmental policy and resource management, in K.G. Mäler and J.R. Vincent (eds.), Handbook of Environmental Economics, Vol. 3, 1273-1306, Elsevier.

Bourguignon, F., M. Bussolo, and L.A. Pereira da Silva. 2008. The Impact of Macroeconomic Policies on Poverty and Income Distribution: Macro-Micro Evaluation Techniques and Tools, Washington D.C., World Bank.

Boyd, R. and M.E. Ibarrarán. 2002. Costs of compliance with the Kyoto Protocol: A developing country perspective, Energy Economics, 24(1): 21-39.

Boyd, R. and M.E. Ibarraran. 2009. Extreme climate events and adaptation: An exploratory analysis of drought in Mexico, Environment and Development Economics, 14(3): 371-395.

Boyd, R. and M.E. Ibarrarán. 2011. El costo del cambio climático en México: análisis de equilibrio general de la vulnerabilidad intersectorial, Gaceta de Economía, 16: 115-133.

Bravo, H.M., J.C. Castro, and M.A. Gutiérrez. 2013. Efectos distributivos de la aplicación de un impuesto a la demanda de combustibles fósiles, Economía Mexicana Nueva Época, 2: 407-439.

Breisinger, C., M. Thomas, and J. Thurlow. 2009. Social Accounting Matrices and Multiplier Analysis: An Introduction with Exercises, Food Security in Practice Technical Guide 5, Washington D.C., International Food Policy Research Institute.

Brito, D.L. and J. Rosellón. 2005. Un modelo de equilibrio general para la fijación de precios del gas natural en México, El Trimestre Económico, 72(286): 391-408.

Campagnolo, L., C. Carraro, F. Eboli, L. Farnia, R. Parrado, and R. Pierfederici. 2018. The ex-ante evaluation of achieving Sustainable Development Goals, Social Indicators Research, 136(1): 73-116.

Campagnolo, L. and M. Davide. 2019. Can the Paris deal boost SDGs achievement? An assessment of climate mitigation co-benefits or side-effects on poverty and inequality, World Development, 122: 96-109.

Castillo, Y. and H.M. Bravo. 2010. Incidencia económica de un impuesto a las emisiones de CO2 en el sector energía en un modelo de equilibrio general computable para México Doctoral Thesis, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona.

Chapa, J. and A. Ortega. 2017a. Carbon tax effects on the poor: A SAM-based approach, Environmental Research Letters, 12(9): 094021.

Chapa, J. and A. Ortega. 2017b. Identifying the main emitters of carbon dioxide in Mexico: A multi-sectoral study, Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, 17(2), 135-172.

Conte Grand, M. and V.V. D'Elia. 2013. Using the box-cox transformation to approximate the shape of the relationship between CO2 emissions and GDP: A note, CEMA Working Papers No. 513, Universidad del CEMA.

Elizondo, A. and R. Boyd. 2017. Economic impact of ethanol promotion in Mexico: A general equilibrium analysis, Energy Policy, 101: 293-301.

Fossati, A. and W. Wiegard. 2003. Policy Evaluation with Computable General Equilibrium Models, Routledge.

Gertler, P. and P. Glewwe. 1990. The willingness to pay for education in developing countries: Evidence from rural Peru, Journal of Public Economics, 42(3): 251-275.

Gomez-Echeverri, L. 2018. Climate and development: Enhancing impact through stronger linkages in the implementation of the Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 376(2119): 20160444.

Hernández Solano, A. and A. Yúnez Naude. 2016. Impactos del cambio climático en la economía rural de México: un enfoque de equilibrio general, Documento de Trabajo No. 2016-06, Centro de Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México.

Hinojosa-Ojeda, R. and S. Robinson. 1991. Alternative scenarios of US-Mexico integration: A computable general equilibrium approach, CUDARE Working Papers No. 198585, University of California-Berkeley.

Hurtado, A. and S. La Hoz. 2017. Sustainable development and climate action: Thoughts on an integrated approach to SDG and climate policy implementation, Paper presented in the 2017 Interconnections Conference, Bohn, Germany.

Ibarrarán, M.E. 2001. Los impuestos al carbono y la economía mexicana: el efecto del cumplimiento de las restricciones impuestas por el calentamiento mundial. El caso de México, El Trimestre Económico, 68(270): 233-268.

Ibarraran, M.E. and M. Ruth. 2009. Climate change and natural disasters: Economic and distributional impacts, in M. Ruth (ed.), Distributional Impacts of Climate Change and Disasters: Concepts and Cases, Cheltenham, Edward Elgar Publishing.

Ibarrarán, M. E., E.L. Malone, and A.L. Brenkert. 2010. Climate change vulnerability and resilience: Current status and trends for Mexico, Environment, Development and Sustainability, 12(3): 365-388.

Ibarrarán, M. E., R. Boyd, and L.M. Islas. 2011. Costly commitments: Climate change policy in Mexico, Latin American Policy, 2(2): 222-233.

INECC. 2018. Sexta Comunicación Nacional y Segundo Informe Bienal de Actualización ante la Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Cambio Climático, México, Instituto Nacional de Ecología y Cambio Climático.

INEGI. 2014. Matriz de insumo producto, https://www.inegi.org.mx/temas/mip/.

INEGI. 2016. Banco de información estadística, http://www.inegi.org.mx/sistemas/bie/.

Kehoe, T.J. and J. Serra-Puche. 1986. A general equilibrium analysis of price controls and subsidies on food in Mexico, Journal of Development Economics, 21: 65-87.

Landa Rivera, G., F. Reynès, I. Islas Cortes, F.X. Bellocq, and F. Grazi. 2016. Towards a low carbon growth in Mexico: Is a double dividend possible? A dynamic general equilibrium assessment, Energy Policy, 96: 314-327.

Lofgren, H. and C. Díaz-Bonilla. 2010. MAMS: An economy-wide model for analysis of MDG country strategies— an application to Latin America and the Caribbean, in M.V. Sánchez-Cantillo, R. Vos, E. Ganuza, H. Lofgren, C. Díaz-Bonilla (eds.), Public Policies for Human Development, London, Palgrave Macmillan.

Lofgren, H., M. Cicowiez, and C. Diaz-Bonilla. 2013. MAMS: A computable general equilibrium model for developing country strategy analysis, in P.B. Dixon and D.W. Jorgenson (eds.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, Vol. 1, 159-276, Elsevier.

Middleton, N. and P. O'Keefe. 2003. Rio Plus Ten: Politics, Poverty and the Environment, London, Pluto Press.

Moshiri, S. and M.A. Martinez Santillan. 2018. The welfare effects of energy price changes due to energy market reform in Mexico, Energy Policy, 113: 663-672.

Núñez-Rodríguez, G. 2015. Modelo de equilibrio general aplicado para México y análisis de impuestos a la extracción de hidrocarburos. Ensayos Revista de Economía, 34(1): 35-74.

Obergassel, W., F. Mersmann, and H. Wang-Helmreich. 2017. Two for one: Integrating the sustainable development agenda with international climate policy, GAIA-Ecological Perspectives for Science and Society, 26(3): 249-253.

Ortega-Díaz, A. and M. Székely-Pardo, M. 2008. Capítulo 16. México, in E. Ganuza, H. Lofgren, M. Sánchez-Cantillo, C. Díaz-Bonilla, and R. Vos (eds.), Política Públicas para el Desarrollo Humano: ¿Cómo Lograr los Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio en América Latina y el Caribe?, New York, Uqbar Editores.

Ortega Diaz, A. 2016. Política fiscal o deuda: un análisis de equilibrio general computable para el financiamiento de Metas de Desarrollo del Milenio, in M.I. García Morales (ed.), El Endeudamiento Público Subnacional en México, Mexico City, Instituto Politécnico Nacional.

Rodríguez, J. 2003. El impacto de eliminar los subsidios a la electricidad en México: implicaciones económicas y ambientales mediante un modelo de equilibrio general computable. Masters Thesis, Universidad de las Américas - Puebla.

Sánchez, R., D. Ürge, and A. Salisu. 2018. Sustainable Development Goals and climate change adaptation in cities, Nature Climate Change, 8(3): 181-183.

Sánchez, M.V. 2018. Climate impact assessments with a lens on inequality, The Journal of Environment and Development, 27(3): 267-298.

SEGOB. 2013. Ley de impuesto especial sobre producción y servicios, Diario Oficial de la Federación, https://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/LIEPS.pdf.

SEMARNAT-INECC. 2012. Quinta Comunicación Nacional ante la Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Cambio Climático, México, Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales - Instituto Nacional de Ecología y Cambio Climático.

Sobarzo, H. 1994. Interactions between trade and tax reform in Mexico: Some general equilibrium results, Documento de Trabajo No. 1994-2, Centro de Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México.

Szabo, S., R.J. Nicholls, B. Neumann, F.G. Renaud, Z. Matthews, Z. Sebesvari, A. AghaKouchak, R. Bales, C.W. Ruktanonchai, J. Kloos, E. Foufoula-Georgiou, P. Wester, M. New, J. Rhyner, and C. Hutton. 2016. Making SDGs work for climate change hotspots, Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development, 58(6): 24-33.

Thorbecke, E. 2017. Social accounting matrices and social accounting analysis, in W. Isard, I.J. Azis, M.P. Drennan, R.E. Miller, S. Saltzman, and E. Thorbecke (eds.), Methods of Interregional and Regional Analysis, New York, Routledge.

Villnueva, R. 2017. Mexico from the Millennium Development Goals to the Sustainable Development Goals: Congruence and dissonance in development compromises, in R. Villanueva (ed.), Mexico and the Post-2015 Development Agenda, Mexico City, Springer.

Vargas Hernández, J.A. and A.R. Muñoz Jumilla. 2018. El impacto de la disminución arancelaria en la pobreza del Estado de México, bajo un enfoque de Equilibrio General Computable, 2004, Análisis Económico, 68(28): 115-133.

Von Stechow, C., J.C. Minx, J.K. Riahi, J. Jewell, D.L. McCollum, M.W. Callaghan, C. Bertram, G. Luderer, and G. Baiocchi. 2016. 2ºC and SDGs: United they stand, divided they fall?, Environmental Research Letters, 11(3): 034022.

Vos, R., E. Ganuza, M. Vinicio, C. Bonilla, and H. Lofgren (eds.). 2008. Public Policies for Human Development, Achieving the Millennium Development Goals in Latin America and the Caribbean, New York, Palgrave MacMillan.

Whalley, J. 1999. Environmental considerations in tax policy design, Environment and Development Economics, 4(1), 111-124.

WIOD. 2016. World input-output database, http://www.wiod.org/release16.

Yúnez-Naude, A. 1992. El tratado de libre comercio y la agricultura mexicana: un enfoque de equilibrio general aplicado, Estudios Económicos, 7(2): 225-264.

Downloads

Published

2022-07-13

How to Cite

Ortega Díaz, A., Guevara, Z., & Chapa Cantú, J. (2022). Coordination between environment, poverty, and SDGs through a carbon tax. Estudios Económicos De El Colegio De México, 37(2), 315–359. https://doi.org/10.24201/ee.v37i2.433