@article{Loría_Salas_2014, title={Cycles, economic growth and crisis in Mexico, 1980.1-2013.4}, volume={29}, url={https://estudioseconomicos.colmex.mx/index.php/economicos/article/view/71}, DOI={10.24201/ee.v29i2.71}, abstractNote={<p>By using the X-12-ARIMA procedure and the HP filter (λ=1 096) with end-of-sample correction (St. Amant and van Norden, 1997; Sarabia, 2010), we identified the growth cycles and estimated the potential output for the Mexican economy (1980.1- 2013.4). We found that: a) there have been six cycles, b) their duration is of about 15-22 quarters, c) their amplitude regarding the potential output varies between 4.46% and -6.48%, d) the expansionary phases never have been above the former data, thus it can be considered as an alarm signal of the end of a cycle, and e) by 2013.4 the Mexican economy was 2.5% below.</p>}, number={2}, journal={Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de México}, author={Loría, Eduardo and Salas, Emmanuel}, year={2014}, month={Jul.}, pages={131–161} }